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  • Crypto Alpha, 14 September 2024

Crypto Alpha, 14 September 2024

Daily Alpha on All Things Crypto, Web3 and Blockchain

TL;DR

  • The crypto fear and greed index has risen to 50, moving from "fear" to "neutral."

  • Nigeria has taken legal action against four individuals and multiple companies, accusing them of illegal participation in crypto transactions and money laundering.

  • An analyst observes that this bull market is primarily driven by institutional funds, a fundamental shift from the nature of the 2021 bull market.

  • The President of The ETF Store states that under current circumstances, there is no sign of new spot ETFs being launched in the next one to two years.

  • Trader T has highlighted that Fidelity FBTC's current behavior towards Bitcoin indicates a bullish bias.

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Alpha of the Day

Fear and Greed Index: From Spooked to Chillin'

The crypto fear and greed index has made a jump to 50, which means we've gone from clutching our pearls in fear to a cool, calm, and collected "neutral." It's like we've finally realized that crypto isn't a haunted house but more of a roller coaster—scary at times, but thrilling. The index is now sitting right in the middle, suggesting that investors aren't running for the hills, but they’re not throwing their entire life savings into Bitcoin either. It's the market's way of saying, "We’re not freaking out... yet."

Nigeria Cracks Down: Not Your Average Crypto Drama

Nigeria is stepping up its regulatory game by prosecuting four individuals and several companies for allegedly dabbling in illegal crypto transactions and money laundering. It's like a plot twist in a Netflix series, but with more legal jargon and fewer cliffhangers. This move highlights the global push towards tightening the reins on crypto activities, proving once again that the Wild West days of unregulated crypto trading are slowly but surely coming to an end.

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Institutional Funds Drive the Bull: A New Era?

An analyst notes that the current bull market is being fueled primarily by institutional funds, marking a significant departure from the retail-driven surge of 2021. This shift is like swapping out your mom's old minivan for a sleek, new Tesla—same idea, but with a lot more power and influence behind the wheel. It suggests that the big players are now calling the shots in the crypto market, making it a little less like the meme-fueled frenzy we saw last time around.

No Spot ETFs Anytime Soon: Patience, Young Grasshopper

According to the President of The ETF Store, don't hold your breath for any new spot ETFs in the next year or two. It's like being told that the sequel to your favorite movie has been delayed—disappointing, but maybe it's for the best. The market needs time to mature, and regulators need to get their ducks in a row. So, for now, we'll just have to keep playing the waiting game and hope for a blockbuster debut when the time is right.

Trader T's Take: Fidelity's Got That Bullish Vibe

Trader T is throwing some shade—or rather, light—on Fidelity FBTC’s behavior towards Bitcoin, which seems to be leaning bullish. It’s like the crypto world’s version of reading tea leaves, but with more charts and fewer teacups. If Fidelity is feeling bullish, that could be a signal for the rest of us to start paying attention. After all, when a giant like Fidelity moves, it tends to make waves, not ripples.

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Short-Term Holders Make It Rain

A whopping 92% of Bitcoin exchange capital inflows are coming from short-term holders. These folks are the market equivalent of speed daters, in and out faster than you can say "HODL." It's a sign that the market is being driven by a lot of fast-moving money right now, which could lead to some wild price swings. So, if you're feeling a bit seasick from all the volatility, now you know who to blame.

Fed Rate Cut Odds: A 50/50 Gamble

The chances of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September have jumped to a coin-flip 50%. It's like that moment when you're at a crossroads in a video game, and you have to choose between two equally risky paths. A rate cut could send shockwaves through the financial markets, including crypto. So, keep your eyes peeled and your notifications on because things could get interesting real fast.

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